VRA Investment Update: Shades of 12/2018. End The Fed. Stock Traders Almanac; Seasonally Bullish.

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VRA Investment Update: Shades of 12/2018. End The Fed. Stock Traders Almanac; Seasonally Bullish.

J Powell came heavy Wednesday, raising rates as expected by .50%, but hawkish without question, targeting a peak rate of 5.1%. While the Fed broadly likes what they see regarding inflationary trends, their big concern is employment, specifically wage pressure/inflation. This is what has the equity markets concerned…will the Fed break something again…this time the jobs market.

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VRA Investment Update: Preparing for A Sharp Move Higher. Why the 200 Day Moving Average Matters So Much

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VRA Investment Update: Preparing for A Sharp Move Higher. Why the 200 Day Moving Average Matters So Much

Good Thursday afternoon all. The markets look to be setting up for a catapult move higher into year end.  The technicals are forming around the 200 dma (after a near parabolic move higher post the 10/13 capitulation into heavily overbought readings), in what looks to me to be a classic consolidation pattern in advance of both the santa claus rally and January effect bullish time frames.

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VRA Investment Update: Textbook Early Bull Market Action. Looking for 25% Move Higher

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Good Thursday morning all. Not only was yesterday's huge move higher in stocks a textbook display of a new bull market (with semis up 5%, nasdaq +4%, leading the way higher), but we saw it in the internals as well with an 88% upside volume day for NYSE and near 7:1 advance/decline. No one was buying J Powells hawkish comments…the markets know what’s coming next (rate cuts).

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VRA Investment Update: Shock & Awe. 10/13 Was THE day. Time for a Proper Bear Mkt Rally. Banana Republic.

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Good Friday morning all. “Shock and awe” might be the best way to describe the short covering melt-up yesterday as stocks had their best day since the end of coronavirus insanity.

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VRA Investment Update: Sentiment & Seasonality Flashing Buy Signals. Q4 Rally, Here We Go.

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VRA Investment Update: Sentiment & Seasonality Flashing Buy Signals. Q4 Rally, Here We Go.

Good Thursday morning all. After solid back to back days our markets gave a bit of it back yesterday but we remain buyers into what we expect to be a solid move higher into the midterms and year end. Sentiment, seasonality and analytics are combining to make a strong case for a significant bear market rally.

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Ugly Action, Seeking Capitulation - Quick Hitters

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Ugly Action, Seeking Capitulation - Quick Hitters

Good Friday morning all. After Wednesday’s 2–3% ramp higher (S&P 500, Nasdaq, R2K) it sure felt like the lows were in as we had a 90% up-volume day in NYSE with 7:1 advance/decline and as S&P 500 put in an outside day (technical buy signal).

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VRA Investment Update: WAR Tonight. Our Psychotic Fed. Real Fear Leading to Great Buying Opp.

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VRA Investment Update: WAR Tonight. Our Psychotic Fed. Real Fear Leading to Great Buying Opp.

Good Thursday morning all. I’ll be on with our great friend Wayne Allyn Root tonight on the Wayne Root Show at 8:30 PM EST. Listen in on USARadio.com or via Wayne’s site; RootForAmerica.com. We’ll be talking about this (bear) market and the soon to be extreme oversold conditions…

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VRA Investment Update: The Rubber Band, Stretched Too Far. Semis; Extreme Oversold on Steroids.

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VRA Investment Update: The Rubber Band, Stretched Too Far. Semis; Extreme Oversold on Steroids.

Good Thursday morning all. Following last Friday's jobs report the markets moved sharply higher, only to give up all of its gains and then close lower by 1% across the board on concerns that Russia would cut off European gas supplies (which happened).

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VRA Investment Update: FOMC Minutes, Dovish. Extreme Overbought, Patience. Housing, Still Powering the US Economy.

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VRA Investment Update: FOMC Minutes, Dovish. Extreme Overbought, Patience. Housing, Still Powering the US Economy.

Good Thursday afternoon all. The Fed minutes from the July meeting are out and, surprise surprise, they show a Fed with multiple members expressing concerns about tightening rates too much. Good. That means they are actually following the data,

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The day has finally arrived...

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18 months ago, my oldest son Tyler and I set out on a labor of love. We knew it wouldn’t be easy. We figured there’d be people against us. We were right, the bannings from Twitter, Medium, PayPal and YouTube, etc proved it.

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VRA Investment Update: Second Quarter GDP Recession Confirmed

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VRA Investment Update: Second Quarter GDP Recession Confirmed

Good Thursday morning all, Q2 GDP — Recession in the US Second quarter GDP just came in at a negative .9%, meaning back to back negative quarters and the technical definition of a recession. First, I owe Wayne Root a Las Vegas dinner.

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VRA Investment Update: The Bear Market Rally We've Been Waiting For. Welcome to Unlimited QE.

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VRA Investment Update: The Bear Market Rally We've Been Waiting For. Welcome to Unlimited QE.

Good Friday morning all. Another big market comeback yesterday, featuring a Dow Jones that rallied from -350 to close +162, led once again by Nasdaq (+1.4%) and Semis (1.7%) and our new repeating pattern of MUCH better internals. This bear market rally looks and feels like it has the potential to be the first big one that we’ve had to date.

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VRA Investment Update: Q2; JP Morgan Misses, Taiwan Semi Beats. Team Lockstep. "Quite Frankly" Interview.

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Good Thursday afternoon all. Yesterday's recovery move higher, on the backs of that horrendous CPI report, was intriguing. Yes, each index finished lower but “well” off of their lows as the semis actually finished up nearly 1% with internals that were only slightly negative.

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VRA Investment Update: Smart Money Hour, New Pattern? No Recession."Insane EU Energy Agenda."

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VRA Investment Update: Smart Money Hour, New Pattern? No Recession."Insane EU Energy Agenda."

Good Thursday morning all. Tuesdays afternoon comeback was impressive (coming off of a near no-bid open…real fear) led by Nasdaq’s 400 point swing higher, and we got a glimpse of that yesterday as the Dow went from -150 to +220 in less than an hour, marking back-to-back afternoon reversals higher.

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VRA Investment Update: Solid Week That Should Lead to a Powerful Short-Squeeze. Everything is So Bearish That We Must Be Bullish.

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VRA Investment Update: Solid Week That Should Lead to a Powerful Short-Squeeze. Everything is So Bearish That We Must Be Bullish.

Good Friday morning all. It’s been a solid week for the markets, one that we believe is setting the stage for a strong move into end of month and possibly a mirror image of the first half of 2022. The economy is slowing, inflation is peaking, yields are topping and investors are too bearish.

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VRA Investment Update: Team Lockstep: The Communist Takedown of America. Record Levels of Extreme Oversold Should Lead to Major Rally.

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VRA Investment Update: Team Lockstep: The Communist Takedown of America. Record Levels of Extreme Oversold Should Lead to Major Rally.

Good Friday afternoon all. Before we get to the markets, which has both a crash scenario along with some of their most oversold levels we’ve ever seen, we’re beginning this morning with “Team Lockstep”. Here’s todays VRA VidCast covering this topic:

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VRA Investment Update: The Repeating Pattern of Extreme Overbought Markets. Biden Must Be an R. 2A

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VRA Investment Update: The Repeating Pattern of Extreme Overbought Markets. Biden Must Be an R. 2A

Good Thursday afternoon all. There’s been a repeating pattern over the last 18 months that’s been as reliable as clockwork; once the broad market indexes hit extreme overbought on our VRA short-term momentum oscillators (stochastics) the markets then reverse lower.

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VRA Investment Update: Jamie Dimon Awakens While HIs Top Strategist is Full-On Bullish. Small Caps Are Cheap. 15–25% Surge Higher Into Year End.

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VRA Investment Update: Jamie Dimon Awakens While HIs Top Strategist is Full-On Bullish. Small Caps Are Cheap. 15–25% Surge Higher Into Year End.

Good Thursday morning all. Yesterdays action at the open was solid, only to be met by a warning from JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon that the US economy was potentially facing a “hurricane” going forward. When Dimon speaks investors listen and the big open turned into big losses by midday.

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VRA Investment Update: Strategy Update. Pattern Changes, Fed 'Flexibility". The Anatomy of Bull & Bear Markets

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VRA Investment Update: Strategy Update. Pattern Changes, Fed 'Flexibility". The Anatomy of Bull & Bear Markets

Good Thursday morning all. Right at 3 months ago we began our planning for the Biden bear market and issuing our VRA Strategy Updates. We sold our VRA leveraged ETF holdings that focused on tech by selling TQQQ (3 x Nasdaq 100 ETF) and selling SOXL (3 x Semi ETF).

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